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Idea behind inverse probability weighting

Suppose the full data are

Group: A B C
Response: 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3

The average response is 2. However, we observe:

Group: A B C
Response: 1 ? ? 2 2 2 ? 3 3

From the observed data, the average response is 13/6, biased.

Notice the probability of response is 1/3 in group A, 1 in group B and 2/3 in group C.

Calculate weighted average, where each observation is weighted by 1/{Probability of response}:

$\displaystyle {\frac{{ 1 \times \frac{3}{1} + (2+2+2)\times 1 + (3+3)\times \frac{3}{2}}}{{\frac{3}{1} + 1+1+1 + \frac{3}{2} + \frac{3}{2}}}}$ = 2.

IPW has eliminated the bias in this case; more generally it will give estimators the property they 'home in' on the truth as the sample size increases (i.e. they are consistent).


next up previous contents 61
Next: A more mathematical view Up: Introduction to Inverse Probability Previous: Introduction   Contents
James Carpenter 2005-03-04