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Suppose the full data are
| Group: |
A |
B |
C |
| Response: |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
The average response is 2.
However, we observe:
| Group: |
A |
B |
C |
| Response: |
1 |
? |
? |
2 |
2 |
2 |
? |
3 |
3 |
From the observed data, the average response is 13/6, biased.
Notice the probability of response is 1/3 in group A, 1 in group B and
2/3 in group C.
Calculate weighted average, where each observation
is weighted by 1/{Probability of response}:

= 2.
IPW has eliminated the bias in this case; more generally it
will give estimators the property they 'home in' on the
truth as the sample size increases (i.e. they are consistent).
Next: A more mathematical view
Up: Introduction to Inverse Probability
Previous: Introduction
Contents
James Carpenter
2005-03-04